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EUR / USD - US Feb Home Sales 10:00 est
Location: BlogsZen Forexification    
Posted by: GoldIvX Monday, March 26, 2007 4:32:59 AM
EUR/USD

+ 41 pips

[The text contained in this post is meant only as a record and should never be taken as trading advice.  This material is not financial advice.]

Went long in EUR/USD at 09:46 for 1.3286 with a 3 pip spread putting me at 1.3289 for profit.

Taking a risk on the US Feb Home Sales forcing a run on the dollar, I was ready with my C.A.R. finger just in case.  But I seen a pre-news uptick from the 1.3259 mark.  Immediate resistance around 1.3280.  Got in shortly there after.

News hit and the market gapped the 1.3300 level.

Reached a high of 1.3345 before settling back around the 1.3330 level.

Fundamentals show a weakening of the dollar in the near future.  Talk of problems with the US subprime will certainly push the euro higher.  Euro fundamentals seem firm.

The weekly chart shows a beautiful Elliot Wave Formation.  Depending on interpretation it looks like we are on a #5 which could take us above all-time highs.  It should be noted however, the wave doesn't appear to have quite the steam it needs.

Looking at the 5 minute chart we can see the market reversed to hit the 23.6% Fibonacci line.

Sydney has been open for an hour and Tokyo will open in less than 2 hours.  Both markets were closed for the 10:00 EST US Home Sales news.  There is a chance of another decent move up as these markets digest the news.
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Comments (6)   Add Comment
Re: EUR / USD - US Feb Home Sales 10:00 est    By BrianTran on Monday, March 26, 2007 10:31:40 PM
Very nice analysis, goldivx! Although I don't know Elliot Wave very well and would like to learn it someday. Great trade! You trade during news reports?

Re: EUR / USD - US Feb Home Sales 10:00 est    By goldivx on Wednesday, March 28, 2007 12:49:25 AM
I've done enough study on Elliot waves to know the basics. Not much beyond that.

I do trade news reports. Nice pippage if you can get in on the right side of the market.

Re: EUR / USD - US Feb Home Sales 10:00 est    By goldivx on Tuesday, March 27, 2007 2:06:53 AM
I've studied enough Elliot to know the basics. Not much beyond that.

I do trade news. Nice pippage if you can get in on the right side of the market.

Re: EUR / USD - US Feb Home Sales 10:00 est    By skylimit777 on Tuesday, March 27, 2007 10:50:54 AM
Good to have an Elliot-Wave-Analyst on the blog. Beyond that, does anybody know a good forex signal provider?

Re: EUR / USD - US Feb Home Sales 10:00 est    By goldivx on Tuesday, March 27, 2007 12:32:13 PM
I might do a blog entry on Elliot Waves.

As far as signal providers, I don't really use any. I use a combination of technicals, fundamentals, and intuition.

Re: EUR / USD - US Feb Home Sales 10:00 est    By Pat_Mar on Tuesday, March 27, 2007 1:18:14 PM
This is interesting, I will try and gather more info and add under my blog


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